Guud ahaan gobolka Laatiin Ameerika, kobaca GDP wuxuu ku dhow yahay in ka badan 2%, marka loo eego ECLAC.
Charles W. Thurston, weriyaha Latin America03.31.25
Baahida adag ee Brazil ee rinjiga iyo agabka dahaarka ayaa kordhay 6% intii lagu jiray 2024, taas oo asal ahaan labanlaabtay kororka wax soo saarka guud ee qaranka. Sannadihii la soo dhaafay, warshaduhu waxay caadi ahaan ka sarreeyaan dardargelinta GDP hal ama laba dhibcood, laakiin sannadkii hore, saamiga ayaa kordhay, sida lagu sheegay warbixin dhowaan uu soo saaray Abrafati, Associação Brasileira dos Fabricantes de Tintas.
"Suuqa rinjiga iyo rinjiga Brazil ayaa ku dhamaaday 2024 iibka rikoorka ah, oo ka sarreeya dhammaan saadaasha la bixiyay muddada sanadka. Xawaaraha iibku wuxuu sii ahaa mid xooggan sanadka oo dhan dhammaan khadadka wax soo saarka, riixaya wadarta guud ilaa 1.983 bilyan litir - 112 milyan litir in ka badan sannadkii hore, oo ka dhigan kobaca 6.0% - kor u kaca xitaa heerka 5.2% warshadaha,” ayuu Fabio Humberg, agaasimaha Abrafati de comunicação e relações institucionais, iimaylka ugu diray CW.
"Mugga 2024 - ku dhawaad 2 bilyan oo litir - waxay ka dhigan tahay natiijada ugu wanaagsan ee taxanaha taariikhiga ah waxayna horeyba Brazil uga dhigtay wax soo saarka afaraad ee ugu weyn adduunka, oo dhaaftay Jarmalka," Humberg ayaa arkay.
Kobaca Gobolka Ku Dhaw Flat
Guud ahaan gobolka Laatiin Ameerika, kobaca GDP wuxuu ku dhow yahay inuu siman yahay in ka badan 2%, sida laga soo xigtay Guddiga Dhaqaalaha ee Qaramada Midoobay ee Latin America iyo Kariibiyaanka (ECLAC). "Sanadka 2024, dhaqaalaha gobolku waxa uu ballaadhiyay qiyaastii 2.2%, iyo 2025, kobaca gobolka waxa la saadaalinayaa 2.4%," ayay ku xisaabtameen falanqeeyayaasha Qaybta Horumarinta Dhaqaalaha ECLAC ee Dulmarka Horudhaca ah ee Dhaqaalaha Latin America iyo Kariibiyaanka, oo la soo saaray dabayaaqadii 2024.
"In kasta oo saadaasha 2024 iyo 2025 ay ka sarreeyaan celceliska tobanka sano, kobaca dhaqaaluhu wuxuu ahaan doonaa mid hooseeya. Celceliska kobaca sanadlaha ee tobanka sano ee 2015-2024 wuxuu taagan yahay 1%, taasoo tilmaamaysa in qofkiiba GDP uu fadhiistay muddadaas," ayaa lagu xusay warbixinta. Wadamada gobolka ayaa wajahaya waxa ECLAC ay ku tilmaantay "dabin awood hoose oo korriin ah."
Kobaca gobol-hoosaadku wuxuu ahaa mid aan sinnayn, isbeddelkana wuu sii socdaa, ECLAC waxay soo jeedinaysaa. "Heerka hoose, labadaba Koonfurta Ameerika iyo kooxda ka kooban Mexico iyo Bartamaha Ameerika, heerarka kobaca ayaa hoos u dhacay qeybtii labaad ee 2022. Koonfurta Ameerika, hoos u dhaca ayaa aad u muuqda marka Brazil aan lagu darin, iyada oo waddankaas uu kor u qaadayo guud ahaan kobaca GDP-ga hoose ee hoosaadka iyada oo loo eegayo cabbirka iyo waxqabadka wanaagsan; kobaca ayaa si sii kordheysa ugu tiirsan isticmaalka gaarka ah, "Warbixinta
"Waxqabadkan lagu qiyaasey ee daciifka ah wuxuu soo jeedinayaa in xilliga dhexe, dhaqaalaha Latin America iyo Kariibiyaanka ee ku biirinta kobaca caalamiga ah, oo lagu muujiyey boqolleyda dhibcood, uu noqon doono ku dhawaad kala bar," warbixintu waxay soo jeedinaysaa.
Xogta iyo shuruudaha wadamada muhiimka ah ee Latin America ayaa raacaya.
Brazil
Korodhka ba'an ee isticmaalka rinjiga iyo dahaadhka Brazil intii lagu jiray 2024 waxa taageeray 3.2% kobaca dhaqaalaha guud ee dalka. Saadaasha GDP ee 2025 waa mid gaabis ah, 2.3%, marka loo eego saadaasha ECLAC. Saadaasha Bangiga Adduunka ayaa la mid ah Brazil.
Qaybta warshadaha rinjiga, waxqabadka Brazil ayaa ahaa mid xoogan oo dhan looxyada, oo ay hogaaminayso qaybta baabuurta. "Waxaa jiray kobac ku yimid dhammaan khadadka wax soo saarka ee ka yimid warshadaha rinjiga iyo dahaarka [intii lagu jiray 2024], oo inta badan lagu calaamadeeyay dahaarka OEM baabuurta, kaas oo ku yimid ciribta kororka xooggan ee iibka baabuurta," ayuu yiri Abrafati.
Iibka Brazil ee baabuurta cusub oo ay ku jiraan basaska iyo xamuulka ayaa kor u kacay 14% 2024 ilaa 10-sano oo sarreeya, sida laga soo xigtay Associacao Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veiculos Automotores (Anfavea). Iibka sanadka oo dhan wuxuu gaaray 2.63 milyan oo baabuur sanadka 2024, taasoo ku soo celisay dalka darajada caalamiga ah ee sideedaad ee ugu weyn suuqyada, sida uu sheegay ururka. (Fiiri CW 1/24/25).
"Dahaadhka dib-u-dhaqaajinta baabuurta ayaa sidoo kale arkay iibka oo kor u kacay heerka 3.6%, sababtoo ah labadaba korodhka iibka baabuurta cusub - taas oo saameyn ku leh iibka baabuurta la isticmaalay iyo kharashka dayactirka ee la filayo iibkaas - iyo heerka sare ee kalsoonida macaamiisha," Abrafati ayaa arkay.
Rinjiyeynta qurxinta ayaa sidoo kale sii waday soo bandhigida waxqabadka wanaagsan, oo leh mugga rikoodhka ah ee 1.490 bilyan litir (ilaa 5.9% sannadkii hore), Abrafati ayaa xisaabisa. "Mid ka mid ah sababaha waxqabadkaas wanaagsan ee rinjiyeynta qurxinta ayaa ah xoojinta isbeddelka ku wajahan dadka daryeelaya guryahooda, si looga dhigo meel lagu nasto, gabaad iyo fayoobaan, taas oo soo jirtay tan iyo masiibada," Abrafati ayaa soo jeedisay.
"Ku darida isbeddelkaas waa korodhka kalsoonida macaamiisha, maaddaama macaamiishu ay dareemayaan inay haystaan shaqo weyn iyo badbaado dakhli, taas oo fure u ah inay go'aansadaan inay ku qaataan jaakad cusub oo rinji ah oo hantidooda ah," madaxa fulinta Abrafati Luiz Cornacchioni ayaa ku sharaxay qoraalka.
Dahaarka warshaduhu waxay sidoo kale dhejiyeen koboc xooggan, oo ay kobciyeen barnaamijyada horumarinta dawladda ee bilaabmay dabayaaqadii 2023 ee hoos yimaada Madaxweyne Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
"Dhibaatada kale ee 2024 waxay ahayd waxqabadka dahaarka warshadaha, kaas oo koray mugga in ka badan 6.3% marka loo eego 2023. Dhammaan qaybaha kala duwan ee line daahan warshadaha soo bandhigay koritaanka sare, gaar ahaan mahad iibka xooggan ee adkeysiga macaamiisha iyo horumarinta mashaariicda kaabayaasha (kicin by arrimo sida sanadka doorashada iyo qandaraasyada la siiyey qaybta gaarka loo leeyahay),"Abrafati aan la siin qaybta gaarka ah).
Kaabayaasha dhaqaalaha waa udub dhexaadka u ah barnaamijka dardargelinta kobaca cusub ee dawladda (Novo PAC), oo ah qorshe maalgashi oo dhan $347 bilyan oo ujeeddadiisu tahay kaabayaasha, horumarinta, iyo mashaariicda deegaanka, kuwaas oo loogu talagalay in lagu horumariyo dhammaan gobollada dalka si siman.Eeg CW 11/12/24).
"Novo PAC waxay ku lug leedahay iskaashi xooggan oo ka dhexeeya dawladda federaalka iyo waaxda gaarka ah, dawladaha, degmooyinka, iyo dhaqdhaqaaqa bulshada ee dadaalka wadajirka ah iyo dadaalka loogu jiro kala-guurka deegaanka, warshadaynta neo-warshadeed, korriinka oo ay weheliyaan ka mid noqoshada bulshada, iyo sii jirista deegaanka," ayaa lagu yidhi website-ka madaxweynaha.
Ciyaartoyda ugu waaweyn ee rinjiga, dahaarka iyo suuqa xabagta (NAICS CODES: 3255) waxaa ku jira shantan, sida ay qabaan Dunn & Bradstreet:
• Oswaldo Crus Quimica Industria e Comercio, oo xarunteedu tahay Guarulhos, ee gobolka Sao Paulo, iyada oo iibkeedu yahay $271.85 milyan sannadkii.
• Henkel, oo xarunteedu tahay Itapevi, gobolka Sao Paulo, iyada oo iibkeedu dhan yahay $140.69 milyan.
• Dilka S/A Tintas e Adesivos, oo xarunteedu tahay Novo Hamburgo, gobolka Rio Grande Do Sul, iyada oo $129.14 milyan la iibinayo.
• Renner Sayerlack, oo fadhigeedu yahay Sao Paulo, oo leh $111.3 milyan oo iib ah.
Sherwin-Williams do Brasil Industria e Comercio, oo xarunteedu tahay Taboao Da Serra, gobolka Sao Paulo, iyada oo iibkeedu dhan yahay $93.19 milyan.
Argentina
Argentina, oo deris la ah Brazil oo ka mid ah wadamada Koonfuurta Koonfureed, waxay diyaar u tahay inay soo celiso kobac xooggan oo 4.3% sanadkan ah ciribta 3.2% qandaraas inta lagu jiro 2024, oo inta badan ka shaqeysa hagida dhaqaale ee adag ee Madaxweyne Javier Milei. Saadaasha GDP-ga ee ECLAC ayaa ka rajo yar saadaasha Sanduuqa Lacagta Adduunka ee 5% ee kobaca Argentina sanadka 2025.
Muddada dib-u-soo-kabashada guryaha ee Argentina ayaa la filayaa inay bataan baahida rinjiyada naqshadaha iyo dahaadhka (Eeg CW 9/23/24). Mid ka mid ah isbeddelka muhiimka ah ee Argentina waa dhammaadka kirada kordhinta iyo kantaroolka muddada kiraynta ee suuqa guryaha la deggan yahay. Bishii Agoosto 2024, Milei waxa uu tuuray sharciga kiraynta 2020 ee uu dejiyay kii hore
maamulka bidixda.
Dib-u-habaynta guryaha ku soo laabtay suuqa furan waxay caddayn kartaa kor u kaca dahaarka qaab dhismeedka qiimaha ku dhawaad $ 650 milyan dhammaadka 2027 ka dib markii uu ku kordhay heerka kobaca sanadlaha ah ee isku-dhafka ah (CAGR) ee ku dhawaad 4.5% muddada shanta sano ah ee u dhaxaysa 2022 iyo 2027, sida lagu sheegay daraasad ay samaysay IndustryARC.
Shirkadaha rinjiga iyo rinjiga ugu weyn ee Argentina, halkii D&B, waxaa ka mid ah:
• Akzo Nobel Argentina, oo xaruntiisu tahay Garín, gobolka Buenos Aires, iibka lama shaacin.
• Ferrum SA de Ceramica y Metalurgia, oo xarunteedu tahay Avellaneda, Buenos Aires, iyada oo iibkeedu yahay $116.06 milyan sannadkii.
• Chemotecnica, oo xarunteedu tahay Carlos Spegazzini, Buenos Aires, iibka lama shaacin.
• Mapei Argentina, oo xarunteedu tahay Escobar, Buenos Aires, iibka lama shaacin.
• Akapol, xarunteedu tahay Villa Ballester, Buenos Aires, iibka lama shaacin.
Kolombiya
Dib u soo kabashada kobaca Kolombiya ayaa la saadaaliyay 2025 2.6% marka la barbar dhigo 1.8% 2024, marka loo eego ECLAC. Tani waxay si fiican ugu faa'iidaysan doontaa marka hore
qaybta dhismaha.
"Baahida gurigu waxay noqon doontaa darawalka ugu weyn ee koritaanka labada sano ee soo socota. Isticmaalka alaabta, oo arkay qayb ka mid ah soo kabashada 2024, ayaa si xooggan u ballaarin doonta 2025 sababtoo ah heerka dulsaarka hoose iyo dakhliga dhabta ah ee sarreeya, "qor falanqeeyayaasha BBVA ee March 2025 ee dalka.
Horumarinta kaabayaasha, oo bilaabay inay kor u kacdo, ayaa sidoo kale kor u qaadi doonta baahida loo qabo dahaarka warshadaha. Mashaariicda waaweyn, sida garoonka cusub ee Cartegena, ayaa loo qorsheeyay in la bilaabo dhismaha inta lagu jiro qeybta hore ee 2025.
"Dawladdu waxay diiradda saaraysaa kaabayaasha dhaqaalaha, oo ay ku jiraan gaadiidka, tamarta iyo kaabayaasha bulshada (dugsiyada iyo isbitaallada), waxay ahaan doonaan tiirka dhexe ee istiraatijiyadda dhaqaalaha.
"Qaybta shaqooyinka madaniga ah ayaa sii waday inay la yaabto iyadoo kor u kacday 13.9% rubuci labaad ee 2024 ee taxanaheedii xilliyeedka la hagaajiyay, ka dib shan rubuc oo isku xigta oo qandaraas ah. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, waxay weli tahay qaybta ugu hooseysa ee dhaqaalaha oo dhan, iyada oo 36% ka hooseysa heerarkii hore ee masiibada," Falanqeeyayaasha Gleeds ayaa ku daray.
Ciyaartoyda ugu waaweyn suuqa sida ay ku qiimeeyeen D&B waa kuwan soo socda:
• Compania Global de Pinturas, oo fadhigeedu yahay Medellin, waaxda Antioquia, oo leh $219.33 milyan iibka sannadlaha ah.
• Invesa, oo xarunteedu tahay Envigado, Antioquia, iyada oo $117.62 milyan iib ah.
• Coloquimica, oo xarunteedu tahay La Estrella, Antioquia, iyada oo $68.16 milyan iib ah.
• Kiimikada Qoraxda ee Colombia, oo fadhigeedu yahay Medellin, Antioquia. iyadoo la iibinayo $62.97 milyan.
• PPG Industries Colombia, oo xarunteedu tahay Itagui, Antioquia, oo leh $55.02 milyan oo iib ah.
Paraguay
Wadamada Latin America ee la filayo inay si degdeg ah u koraan waxaa ka mid ah Paraguay, oo la saadaaliyay inay ku fidin doonto wax soo saarka GDP 4.2% sanadkan, ka dib kobaca 3.9% sanadkii hore, sida ay sheegtay ECLAC.
"GDP ee Paraguay waxaa lagu qiyaasaa in uu yahay $ 45 dhamaadka 2024 ee qiimaha GDP hadda. Raadinta ka hor 2025, saadaasha waxay soo jeedinayaan in Paraguay ee 2025 qiyaasta GDP wuxuu noqon karaa $ 46.3. Dhaqaalaha Paraguay wuxuu koray celcelis ahaan heerka kobaca sanadlaha ah ee 6.1% afartii sano ee la soo dhaafay iyo ka hor inta aan la xusin ee dhaqaalaha ee ku salaysan ee 2025 ee dhaqaalaha ee ku salaysan ee Uruguay. falanqeeyayaasha.
Wax soo saarka yaryar ayaa sii ahaanaya qayb weyn oo ka mid ah dhaqaalaha Paraguay. "BCP [Bangiga Dhexe ee Paraguay] waxay ku qiyaastay in [2025] ay barwaaqo u noqon doonto warshadaha Paraguay, iyada oo xoogga la saarayo qaybta maquila (ururka iyo dhamaystirka alaabta). Aragtida warshadaha guud ahaan waa 5% kobaca "ayaa sheegay H2Foz, Diseembar 2024.
Maalgelinta kaabeyaasha ayaa sii sahlaysa wax soo saarka Paraguay.
"Sanduuqa OPEC ee Horumarinta Caalamiga ah (bishii Janaayo) wuxuu ku dhawaaqay in uu bixinayo $ 50 milyan oo amaah ah Paraguay si ay isaga kaashadaan dhaqancelinta, cusboonaysiinta iyo dayactirka Jidka Qaranka ee PY22 iyo marin u helka waddooyinka waqooyiga Paraguay ee Concepción. Waxaa lagu maalgeliyay $ 135 amaah amaah ah oo ka timid CAF (Bankiga Horumarinta E) ee Latin America iyo Bariga Dhexe.
Waddooyinka iyo dhismaha hoteellada cusub ayaa Paraguay ka caawin doona inay ballaariso warshadeeda dalxiiska, taasoo si degdeg ah u koreysa, iyadoo in ka badan 2.2 milyan ay soo booqdaan, sida lagu sheegay warbixin ka soo baxday Xoghaynta Dalxiiska Paraguay (Senatur). "Xogta, oo la soo aruuriyay iyadoo lala kaashanayo Agaasinka Socdaalka, ayaa muujinaya koror la taaban karo oo ah 22% soogalootiga marka la barbar dhigo 2023," ayay tiri Resumen de Noticias (RSN).
Kariibiyaanka
Qayb hoosaad ahaan, Caribbean-ka waxa la filayaa inay muujiso kobaca 11% sanadkan, marka la barbar dhigo 5.7% sanadka 2024, marka loo eego ECLAC (eeg jaantuska saadaalinta ECLAC GDP). 14-ka waddan ee loo tixgaliyo inay qayb ka yihiin gobol-hoosaadka, Guyana waxaa loo qoondeeyey inay muujiso kobac aan caadi ahayn oo ah 41.5% sannadkan, marka la barbar dhigo 13.6% ee 2024, taas oo ay ugu wacan tahay warshadaha saliidda ee sida degdegga ah u fidaya ee xeebaha ah.
Baanka Adduunka waxa uu ku sheegay Saliida iyo Gaaska Guyana in ka badan 11.2 Bilyan oo Fuusto Saliid ah oo u dhiganta, oo ay ku jiraan qiyaastii 17 trillion cubic fuudh oo kayd gaas dabiici ah oo xidhiidhsan. Shirkado badan oo shidaal oo caalami ah ayaa sii wada samaynta maalgashi ballaadhan, taas oo horseeday in 2022 uu bilaabo degdegga wax soo saarka saliidda ee dalka.
Dabaysha ka dhalata dakhligu waxay gacan ka geysan doontaa abuurista baahi cusub dhammaan qaybaha rinjiga iyo dahaarka. "In kasta oo, taariikh ahaan, Guyana GDP per capita uu ka mid ahaa kuwa ugu hooseeya Koonfurta Ameerika, kobaca dhaqaale ee aan caadiga ahayn tan iyo 2020, celcelis ahaan 42.3% saddexdii sano ee la soo dhaafay, wuxuu keenay GDP qofkiiba in ka badan $ 18,199 sanadka 2022, laga bilaabo $ 6,477 sanadka 2019," Adduunka
Warbixinaha bangiga.
Rinjiga ugu weyn iyo ciyaartoyga dahaarka ee gobol hoosaadka, marka loo eego raadinta Google AI, waxaa ka mid ah:
• Ciyaartoyda gobolka: Lanco Paints & Coatings, Berger, Harris, Lee Wind, Penta, iyo Royal.
• Shirkadaha Caalamiga ah: PPG, Sherwin-Williams, Axalta, Benjamin Moore iyo Comex.
• Shirkadaha kale ee caanka ah waxaa ka mid ah RM Lucas Co. iyo warshadda Rinjiga Caribbean Aruba.
Venezuela
Venezuela ayaa sanado badan ka baxsan siyaasadda Laatiin Ameerika, inkastoo dalkaasi uu hanti badan ku leeyahay saliidda iyo gaaska, iyadoo uu xukunka hayay madaxweyne Nicolás Maduro. ECLAC waxay saadaalisay in dhaqaaluhu uu kori doono 6.2% sanadkan, marka la barbar dhigo 3.1% sanadka 2024.
Maamulka Trump ayaa laga yaabaa inuu biyo qabow ku tuuro saadaasha koritaanka iyadoo dabayaaqadii bishii Maarso lagu dhawaaqay in Mareykanka uu ku soo rogi doono 25% canshuur soo dejinta waddan kasta oo soo dejinaya saliidda Venezuela, taas oo lagu qiyaasay 90% dhaqaalaha waddanka.
Ku dhawaaqista cashuurta ayaa timid ka dib markii 4-tii March la laalay shatiga Chevron ee raadinta iyo soo saarista shidaalka dalka. "Haddii cabbirkan la kordhiyo shirkadaha kale - oo ay ku jiraan Spain ee Repsol, Italy Eni, iyo France ee Maurel & Prom - dhaqaalaha Venezuela wajihi karaa hoos u dhac weyn ee wax soo saarka saliidda cayriin, hoos u qaybinta shidaalka, suuqa sarrifka lacagaha qalaad daciif ah, qiimo-dhaca, iyo sicir-bararka sii kordhaya," ayaa tiri Caracas Chronicles.
Hay'adda wararka ayaa soo xiganaysa isbedel dhowaan laga sameeyay Ecoanalítica, kaas oo "baashaya 2% ilaa 3% hoos u dhac ku yimaada GDP dhamaadka 2025, iyadoo 20% hoos u dhac ku yimid qaybta saliida." Falanqeeyayaasha ayaa sii waday: "Dhammaan calamadaha waxay soo jeedinayaan in 2025 ay noqon doonto mid ka sii dhib badan sidii markii hore la filayey, iyadoo hoos u dhac weyn uu ku yimid wax soo saarka muddada gaaban iyo hoos u dhaca dakhliga saliidda."
Shirkadaha hormuudka u ah soo dejinta saliidda Venezuela waxaa ka mid ah Shiinaha, oo 2023 iibsaday 68% saliidda ay dhoofiso Venezuela, sida lagu sheegay falanqaynta 2024 ee Maamulka Macluumaadka Tamarta ee Mareykanka, ayaa werisay EuroNews. "Spain, India, Russia, Singapore iyo Vietnam ayaa sidoo kale ka mid ah wadamada saliida ka hela Venezuela, warbixintu waxay muujineysaa," ayay tiri wakaalada wararka.
Laakiin xitaa Mareykanka - inkastoo uu cunaqabateyn ku soo rogay Venezuela - wuxuu ka soo iibsadaa saliidda dalkaas, bishii Janaayo, Mareykanka wuxuu ka soo dhoofiyay 8.6 milyan oo foosto oo saliid ah Venezuela, sida laga soo xigtay Xafiiska Tirakoobka, qiyaastii 202 milyan oo foosto oo la soo dhoofiyay bishaas, "EuroNews ayaa tilmaantay.
Gudaha gudaha, dhaqaaluhu wuxuu weli diiradda saarayaa hagaajinta guryaha, taas oo kordhinaysa baahida rinjiyada naqshadaha iyo dahaarka. Bishii Maajo 2024, dawladda Venezuela waxay xustay sannad-guuradii 13-aad ee barnaamijkeeda Hawlgalka Guriyeynta Weyn (GMVV), iyada oo u dabaaldegaysa guriga 4.9 milyan ee la gaarsiiyay qoysaska fasalka shaqeeya, ayaa sheegaysa falanqaynta Venezuela. Barnaamijku waxa uu leeyahay yool ah in la dhiso 7 milyan oo guri marka la gaadho 2030ka.
In kasta oo maalgashadayaasha reer galbeedka laga yaabo inay ka xishoodaan kororka soo-gaadhista Venezuela, bangiyada kala duwan ayaa taageeraya mashaariicda kaabayaasha, oo ay ku jiraan bangiga Horumarinta ee Latin America iyo Kariibiyaanka (CAF).
Waqtiga boostada: May-08-2025
